Saturday, November 1, 2008

Bushco against Bolivia's Indians

Indian
You may remember that the Morales government in Bolivia is levying a tax on natural resources, which lie in provinces dominated by white-ish, rich, Bolivians, so as to provide benefits for improvised, dark-skinned Indians, who are the country's majority and who have not traditionally shared in wealth from the country's resources, mainly natural gas.

The wealthy provinces are threatening to secede and civil war is possible. Europe is mediating. Brazil and Argentina -- neighbors and major importers of Bolivia's natural gas, support Morales, so far thwarting civil war. Bushco, naturally, encourages the rich secessionists.

There is a hint in this article that Bushco is cutting off its nose to spite it's face: the hint is that the textile manufacturers who would be hurt by Bushco's threatened suspension action live in the rich provinces.

November 4 cannot come soon enough. January 20 seems a lifetime away.

THE WASHINGTON POST
CORRECTION TO THIS ARTICLE

This article incorrectly said that President Bush signed a law that suspended trade preferences for Bolivia. Bush signed the Andean Trade Preference Act, which includes Bolivia as a beneficiary country. At the signing ceremony, Bush reiterated his intention to suspend Bolivia as a beneficiary.
U.S. Trade Move Shakes Bolivia

Suspension of Preferences Raises Fears of Widespread Job Losses
By Joshua Partlow
Washington Post Foreign Service
Sunday, October 19, 2008; A22


LA PAZ, Bolivia, Oct. 18 -- The decision by the Bush administration to suspend trade preferences that benefit Bolivia has left workers here worried about the potential for widespread layoffs at a time when the nation is struggling to cope with the international financial crisis.

U.S. officials said 20,000 to 30,000 Bolivians might lose their jobs as a result of the suspension of preferences, which are important for such Bolivian exports as textiles and jewelry.

"This decision is discriminatory and political," said Emilio Pinto Marin, vice minister of the budget department. "It's going to affect our productivity."

President Bush said Thursday that he signed the law suspending Bolivia's trade privileges because the country had "failed to cooperate with the United States on important efforts to fight drug trafficking." But many officials here see it as the latest step in an escalating feud between the two countries.

In recent months, cooperation between U.S. and Bolivian anti-drug authorities has deteriorated. In September, President Evo Morales expelled U.S. Ambassador Philip S. Goldberg over accusations that Goldberg was conspiring with Bolivia's political opposition. Goldberg denied the charges, and the United States responded by dismissing Bolivia's ambassador to Washington. Amid roadblocks and outbursts of political violence last month, the Peace Corps pulled its volunteers from Bolivia.

"You have to say that the traditional relationship that Bolivia had with the United States . . . has come to an end," Bolivia's minister of the presidency, Juan Ramón Quintana, said in an interview. "I believe this is the worst moment for the relations between the United States and the entire world. The worst moment."

This is the first time Bolivia has been excluded from the Andean Trade Preference Act, enacted in 1991, which affords some South American countries lower tariffs on certain exports to the United States. Bolivia's suspension can be reviewed and possibly reversed after June, U.S. officials said.

Through September, Bolivia exported $385 million worth of products this year to the United States, its fourth-largest export market after Brazil, South Korea and Argentina. Bolivian officials estimated that about $70 million worth of Bolivian exports could be affected by the U.S. decision.

Quintana said that Bolivia is reorienting its textile exports to Brazil and Venezuela and that it would not be hurt economically by the loss of preferences.

"From the Bolivian perspective, this is an absurdity," he said. "Washington pretends they are going to confront the national government through this textiles sector. If Washington was aware of some basic facts, they would know this sector was always in opposition to the national government. What is this going to achieve?"

The decision to suspend trade preferences was driven by several developments that indicated Bolivia was not effectively combating the drug trade, said Christopher J. McMullen, a deputy assistant secretary of state who specializes in South America.

At Bolivia's urging, the U.S. government this year removed workers from the U.S. Agency for International Development and theDrug Enforcement Administration from coca-producing regions of the country, and Bolivian officials have cooperated less with the narcotics affairs section of the U.S. Embassy in La Paz. The amount of coca grown in the country increased by about 5 percent in 2007 over the previous year, according to U.N. statistics, although that was far below the 27 percent jump in Colombia.

"It was regrettable that we had to suspend Bolivia," McMullen said. "This is going to be a major blow, I think, for Bolivia in terms of losing these jobs."

McMullen added that the United States wants to remain engaged with Bolivia and is willing to reevaluate its position if it sees more cooperation, illegal-coca eradication and drug interdiction.

"Hopefully, by next June, they will be cooperating enough on combating drugs," he said.

Bolivian officials defend their coca policy, which allows farmers in certain areas to legally grow a third of an acre of the crop for traditional uses such as chewing the leaves and brewing teas. The days when farmers engaged in bloody struggles against U.S.-backed eradication teams are over, as coca has lost its stigma. Under Morales, cocaine seizures have risen each year; nearly 20 tons has been confiscated this year, according to government statistics.

But the drug war debate is not the primary concern for the small businesses making textiles in El Alto, the sprawling city on the plateau above the capital. Humberto Sandalio, president of the Regional Federation of Small Businesses of El Alto, said the companies are actively seeking new international markets to avoid widespread losses. One textile firm, Nueva Esperanza, said it would close down and lay off its 40 employees because of the loss of trade preferences, according to Bolivian news reports Saturday.

"The biggest problem in this situation is a political problem between governments," Sandalio said. "We can't manage this problem."

Monday, October 27, 2008

egalitarianism and free markets

Friend, thanks for the call. You were clear. The tension between the need to [protect against excesses of free enterprise and the desire not to stifle creativity is clear and important. That's quite an admission for a liberal to make. I've been struggling with how to express that tension in my own thinking.

I didn't this morning state the main reason why I like Denmark. [I freely admit that I might think differently about Denmark if I lived there. I don't want to bike to work in the rain.] The reason is not encompassed by the dynamics you described: it is that when markets are regulated only to protect against excesses which destroy market efficiency, the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. That seemed to happen here and all over the world, when markets are regulated minimally. That is an easily proven fact.

I've been reading stuff on the internet about the meaning of Bush's "Democratic Capitalism". There's quite a literature on it.

One f the themes that runs through the discussion of Democratic Capitalism is that egalitarianism should not be part of public policy, because it necessarily stifles the efficient operation of the market, to everyone's detriment.

I think egalitarianism should be a part of public policy and I believe that increasing the buying power of poor people helps rather than hurts productivity. I believe Hussein believes so too.

The end result of unrestrained capitalism is a feudal society -- as I predict will be the likely but not inevitable end result of current international trends.

I would pose the tension this way: how do we regulate markets so as to foster creativity and innovation and provide for a more even distribution of the world's goods? That is an empirical, not a moral, question, though it has a moral base.

Both the socialist model at it's most controlling and the capitalist model at it's most unconstrained are like Goya's "The sleep of reason produces monsters."


[I don't know a good pic of reason awake and run amok; perhaps Picasso's Guernica will do:


Must our lives always be dualistic?]

Denmark, it seems to me, strikes a reasonable balance, but Denmark is a small, homogenous country. We are a mage, heterogeneous country, seemingly intent of fracturing even more. I welcome suggestions on how to achieve a balance here.

A world balance, with no international government, is even harder to imaging; and, in my view, even more desirable -- but you will, I suppose, dismiss this as yet another Utopian fantasy of Liberal fuzzy-headeaddedness.

Yours in Anarchy,

Durell


Sunday, October 26, 2008

Top-down or bottom-up ecionomics


Robert Reich is one of Hussein's economic advisors.  Reich's blog is a short course on the differences between Hussein's approach to the economy and the Grouchy Old Man's approach. Kindergarten stuff, but a good, clear, refresher.  Needless to say, Bushco and McCain's advisors disagree.  Violently.

Go to

http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2008/07/reich-mccainomi.html 
to read Reich's blog.

NOTE TO JP:  I FIGURED OUT HOW TO DO IT!!! sorta.

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I am an attorney emeritus in Hawaii. I have been a lawyer in Texas, Alaska, and Hawaii; a soldier in Korea; a student at the Raymondville schools and the Universities of Texas and Chicago; a legislative ombudsman; a revisor of statutes; a legal aid lawyer; a court master, a guardian ad litem, a child custody lawyer ---and Abraham is the love of my life.

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